AHPA Briefs
November 6, 2026
2026 Midterm Elections Deliver Democratic Control of Congress and Major State-Level Shifts
The November 3rd midterm elections delivered sweeping Democratic victories, shifting control of both chambers of Congress and reshaping the political landscape across numerous states. Democrats secured majorities in the U.S. House and Senate, establishing divided government for the final two years of President Donald Trump’s term. The party also flipped at least five Republican-held governorships and made substantial gains in state legislatures, including in several traditionally Republican states. Voter concerns surrounding affordability, the cost of living and the direction of federal policy were central to the election results. This tells us something important – healthcare affordability will continue to be a top priority across federal, state and local governments.
Democrats have secured at least 54 seats in the 100-member Senate, including two independents who caucus with the party, compared with 44 Republicans. Senate races in Alaska and Mississippi remain uncalled, leaving the final composition of the chamber undetermined. In the House, Democrats have surpassed the 218 seats necessary for a majority, with projections that the party will ultimately hold between 251 and 268 seats once outstanding races are decided. The results will substantially alter the legislative environment when the 120th Congress convenes in January 2027, giving Democrats control of committee leadership, oversight responsibilities, federal spending negotiations and the Senate confirmation process. Although there is no consensus on how to advance affordability, issues like site neutral payments (same pay for a service regardless of setting), drug pricing, and insurance coverage reforms have bipartisan support and will continue to be at the center of policy discussions.
The United States Senate
Democrats flipped seven Republican-held Senate seats, including several that were considered unlikely earlier in the election cycle. In Texas, State Rep. James Talarico (D) defeated Attorney General Ken Paxton (R), becoming the first Democrat elected to the Senate from Texas since 1988. In Kansas, pastor Adam Hamilton (D) defeated incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall (R), delivering the state’s first Democratic Senate victory since 1932. South Carolina produced another major upset, with Annie Andrews (D) defeating incumbent Sen. Darline Graham (R), while Iowa elected Josh Turek (D) over Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson. Other important Democratic pickups included former Sen. Sherrod Brown’s defeat of incumbent Sen. Jon Husted (R) in Ohio, former North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper’s victory over Michael Whatley (R), and former Maine state Senate President Troy Jackson’s defeat of longtime incumbent Sen. Susan Collins (R). Democrats also successfully defended competitive seats, including Sen. Jon Ossoff’s reelection in Georgia and Chris Pappas in New Hampshire.
In contrast, Republicans retained Florida’s Senate seat, where incumbent Sen. Ashley Moody narrowly defeated Democrat State Rep. Angie Nixon, and Kentucky’s open seat, where Rep. Andy Barr (R) won the election to replace retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell.
As of this writing, two additional Senate contests could expand the Democratic majority. In Alaska, former Rep. Mary Peltola (D) holds a narrow lead over incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan (R). In Mississippi, Democrat Scott Colom is narrowly leading incumbent Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) in a race that was not initially expected to be competitive.
The United States House of Representatives
Democratic House gains extended well beyond traditional battleground districts, with the party flipping Republican-held seats in states like California, Colorado, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio, Texas and Wisconsin, while successfully defending several districts targeted by Republican redistricting efforts. The results will bring a large incoming congressional class and significant turnover on all committees of healthcare jurisdiction.
California played a central role in the Democratic majority following the approval of a new congressional map in 2025, with Democrats capturing five Republican-held seats. Among the notable victories were Randy Villegas (D) defeating incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) and Marni von Wilpert (D) winning the redrawn 48th District. In Texas, Democrats overcame Republican redistricting efforts, with Bobby Pulido (D) defeating incumbent Rep. Monica De La Cruz (R) and Katy Padilla Stout (D) flipping the 23rd District.
Democrats also made significant gains in the Midwest and Southeast. In Wisconsin, Rebecca Cooke (D) defeated incumbent Rep. Derrick Van Orden (R), while Mitchell Berman (D) unseated Rep. Bryan Steil (R). Ohio Democrats flipped at least two Republican-held seats, defeating incumbents Reps. Max Miller and Mike Carey, while North Carolina saw unexpected Democratic victories by Jamie Ager and Lakesha Womack in the 11th and 14th Districts, respectively. Kentucky also delivered a Democratic pickup, with Zach Dembo winning the seat vacated by newly elected Sen. Andy Barr. In Florida, Democratic incumbents Reps. Darren Soto and Kathy Castor, both members of the House Energy and Commerce Committee, successfully defended their seats despite Republican-led redistricting. Meanwhile, Colorado’s closely watched 4th District race between incumbent Rep. Lauren Boebert (R) and Eileen Laubacher (D) remains uncalled.
Governor’s Mansions
Democrats also secured several historic gubernatorial victories, including major upsets in traditionally Republican states. In Texas, State Rep. Gina Hinojosa (D) defeated three-term incumbent Gov. Greg Abbott (R), becoming the state’s first Latina governor and ending more than three decades of Republican control of the office. Georgia elected former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms (D), who defeated businessman Rick Jackson (R) to become the nation’s first Black female governor. Bottoms campaigned on full Medicaid expansion, creating an opportunity to revisit Georgia’s healthcare coverage policies. In Ohio, former state health director Amy Acton (D) defeated Republican Vivek Ramaswamy, while Wisconsin elected David Crowley (D) as its first Black governor, succeeding retiring Democrat Tony Evers.
Republicans retained the governor’s office in Florida, where Byron Donalds narrowly defeated former Rep. David Jolly (D) in a closer-than-expected election, becoming the state’s first Black governor. Meanwhile, Kansas remains one of the few unresolved gubernatorial contests, with State Sen. Cindy Holscher (D) narrowly leading Senate President Ty Masterson (R) in the race to succeed Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly.
State Legislatures
Democrats made substantial gains in state legislatures, flipping chambers in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Texas and Wisconsin, while also taking control of the previously divided Minnesota House. Among the most consequential changes, Democrats captured both chambers of the Wisconsin Legislature for the first time since 2010, establishing unified Democratic control of state government. Democrats also flipped the Georgia House for the first time since 2004, while Republicans retained the Senate. In Texas and North Carolina, Democrats gained control of the state Houses, although Republicans maintained narrow or reduced Senate majorities.
Elsewhere, Republicans lost longstanding legislative supermajorities in Florida and Kansas. Colorado Democrats were positioned to strengthen their majorities, potentially securing supermajority control of both chambers, while Washington Democrats approached a two-thirds majority in the state House. Several legislative races remain outstanding. Collectively, these changes could reshape state-level negotiations over Medicaid funding, healthcare access, insurance regulation and other hospital priorities.
Implications for Federal Healthcare Policy
Democratic control of Congress will create a substantially different environment for federal healthcare legislation and oversight beginning in 2027. New Democratic leaders will set the agendas for the House Energy and Commerce and Ways and Means Committees and the Senate Finance and Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committees, all of which have significant jurisdiction over federal healthcare programs.
Democrats may seek to strengthen coverage protections under the Affordable Care Act, roll back Medicaid cuts, and expand oversight of federal healthcare agencies, while Republicans are likely to defend the administration’s existing policy priorities. Although Democratic majorities will provide greater influence over federal spending and legislative negotiations, the President’s veto authority and Senate procedural requirements will continue to constrain major partisan legislation.